SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.SYNOPSIS…
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS…KEEPING AN UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
.PRIMARY HAZARDS…
THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE
CLOUD-T0-GROUND LIGHTNING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE…WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM SUCH STORMS BEING LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. THE BEST TIME FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE FROM 4 PM EDT TO 2 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING.
.DISCUSSION…
UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO RIDE THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW. WITH A WARM…UNSTABLE
AIR MASS REMAINING IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE…THESE DISTURBANCES WILL
CONTINUE TO CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. A STRONG DISTURBANCE WAS EVIDENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND
ARKANSAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL REACH NORTHWEST
GEORGIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON…AND THEN DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA AFTER SUNSET. THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS FEATURE. IF THIS ACTIVITY BECOMES
ORGANIZED OR MOVES INTO THE AREA AS A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX…DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AS WELL…ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A FEW OF THESE MAY BECOME SEVERE EACH DAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.