Georgia has many types of natural disasters including hurricanes, tornadoes, severe storms, wildfires and floods. It’s that time of year again that we need to keep an eye on the tropics in order to accurately forecast and anticipate affects to our weather here. NOAA forecasters say a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. However, as with any season, the need to prepare for the possibility of a storm striking near you is essential.
In August 2005 a record 18 tornadoes struck in Bartow, Carroll, Fannin, Forsyth, Hall, Haralson, Heard, Jackson, Oconee, Paulding, Polk, Taylor, Lumpkin, Peach, Spalding, Walton and White counties when the remnants of Hurricane Katrina passed through the state. One person was killed, six people were injured, and numerous homes and businesses were destroyed. Georgia also became the destination of more than 100,000 evacuees from the Gulf States, requiring several state agencies to implement a range of assistance initiatives. September of 1999 a record 70 percent of coastal residents evacuated in the face of Hurricane Floyd. Fortunately, Floyd did not come ashore in Georgia, but I-16 was so clogged that distances normally covered in an hour took five hours or more to travel. Georgia shelters housed 35,000 people and 130,000 animals.
In its initial outlook for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June through November, NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center calls for a 50 percent probability of a near-normal season, a 25 percent probability of an above-normal season and a 25 percent probability of a below-normal season. Global weather patterns are imposing a greater uncertainty in the 2009 hurricane season outlook than in recent years. Forecasters say there is a 70 percent chance of having nine to 14 named storms, of which four to seven could become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5).
Current Tropical Weather
No activity in the Atlantic
Hurricane Felicia in the Pacific – those with travel plans to Hawai are urged to stay congnizant of this storm as it is approaching the islands, landfall estimated 8/10 or 8/11.
HURRICANE FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082009
200 AM PDT WED AUG 05 2009
…FELICIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN…EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY… AT 200 AM PDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 128.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1365 MILES…2200 KM…WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR COUPLE OF DAYS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH…165 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELICIA IS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS…AND FELICIA WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY ONCE FELICIA MOVES OVER COLDER WATER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES…55 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB…28.64 INCHES.
…SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION…
LOCATION…13.4N 128.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…970 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
There is the possibility of isolated severe storms across much of North and Central Georgia this afternoon. If needed a new post will be issued for that event.
Stephen M. Dooley, CEM
Hazardous Weather Specialist
GEMA Certified Emergency Manager